微波脉冲对硅基双极型晶体管的损伤特性（高功率微波技术研究所专题组稿）

利用微波脉冲注入实验平台,对硅基双极型晶体管低噪声放大器进行了损伤效应实验。在微波脉冲对硅基双极型晶体管低噪声放大器损伤的失效分析中,当低噪声放大器增益下降大于10 dB时,发现硅基双极型晶体管出现了永久损伤。通过对比测量硅基双极型晶体管损伤前后的电特性以及利用扫描电子显微镜（SEM）观测损伤后晶体管的微观特性,结果表明：硅基双极型晶体管被微波脉冲损伤后,基区的硅材料烧蚀导致发射结和集电结短路,不再具有PN结特性,导致器件失效。     

流体网络在线性能评估与故障诊断方法

在流体网络机理建模的基础上,研究了各种性能退化因素对流体网络特性的影响,通过对网络当前特征参数与理想状态的偏差分析,给出了量化的流体网络性能评价指标,然后以该指标为依据,结合网络的拓扑结构和动态数据,实现了在线性能评估、故障诊断和故障定位。将该方法应用于实际工程案例,并通过仿真结果和实际情况的对比,证明了该方法的实用性和诊断评估结果的准确性。     

Two novel critical shock models based on Markov renewal processes

In this paper, we investigate systems subject to random shocks that are classified into critical and noncritical categories, and develop two novel critical shock models. Classical extreme shock models and run shock models are special cases of our developed models. The system fails when the total number of critical shocks reaches a predetermined threshold, or when the system stays in an environment that induces critical shocks for a preset threshold time, corresponding to failure mechanisms of the developed two critical shock models respectively. Markov renewal processes are employed to capture the magnitude and interarrival time dependency of environment-induced shocks. Explicit formulas for systems under the two critical shock models are derived, including the reliability function, the mean time to failure and so on. Furthermore, the two critical shock models are extended to the random threshold case and the integrated case where formulas of the reliability indexes of the systems are provided. Finally, a case study of a lithium-ion battery system is conducted to illustrate the proposed models and the obtained results.     

高性能互连网络中端口阻塞故障预测方法

随着系统规模、芯片功耗和链路速率的提升,高性能互连网络的整体故障率也不断上升,传统运维方式将难以为继,给高性能计算系统整体可靠性和可用性带来了巨大挑战。针对网络端口阻塞这类严重网络故障,提出无监督算法的预测模型。该模型从历史信息中挖掘征兆性规律并形成新的特征向量,应用K-means聚类算法对特征向量进行学习归类。在预测时,结合端口当前状态,利用二次指数平滑算法对未来状态进行预测,将得到的新特征向量使用K-means算法预判是否会发生阻塞故障。利用拓扑结构信息,分别对叶交换机和根交换机构建预测子模型,进而提升预测的精确率。结果表明,该预测模型能保持在召回率为88.2%的前提下,达到65.2%的准确率,可为运维人员提供有效的辅助。     

围压下固体推进剂的破坏机理分析

贴壁浇筑的固体发动机推进剂药柱在点火状态下处于三向围压状态,而环向承受拉应变,亟待对围压下推进剂的破坏机理展开研究。基于自研的围压加载试验系统,通过开展推进剂在不同围压、温度和应变率下的单轴拉伸试验来研究围压、温度和应变率的耦合作用对推进剂力学行为的影响。针对围压下推进剂的力学响应特征,通过细观力学仿真进一步研究围压下推进剂的破坏形式,同时借助电镜扫描试验分析推进剂试样断面的形貌特征,通过试验和仿真相结合的手段分析了围压下推进剂的破坏机理。研究结果表明,围压下推进剂的损伤界面显著减少,且随着围压载荷的逐渐增加,推进剂的损伤形式从以颗粒脱湿为主转变为以颗粒破碎为主。     

On the behavior and shape of mixture failure rates from a family of IFR Weibull distributions

Populations of many types of component are heterogeneous and often consist of a small number of different subpopulations. This is called a mixture and it arises in a number of situations. For example, a majority of products in industrial populations are mixtures of defective items with shorter lifetimes and standard items with longer lifetimes. It is a well‐known result that distributions with decreasing failure rates are closed under mixture. However, mixtures of distributions with increasing failure rates are not easily classifiable. If the subpopulations involved in the mixture have increasing failure rates, there might be some upward movement in the mixture and later a general downward pull towards the strongest component. Little work has been done in describing the shape of mixture failure rates when all subpopulations do not have decreasing failure rate. In this paper, we present general results that describe the shape and behavior of a failure rate of a mixture obtained from two Weibull subpopulations with strictly increasing failure rates. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

潜在故障状态可测的一种故障检查模型

从系统的功能故障状态和潜在故障状态两方面讨论了故障检查模型,基于延迟时间模型推导了系统的期望可用度模型并对其适用性进行了讨论与验证。     

基于作战任务的多机种故障备件需求模型

通过分析战时故障备件的需求特点,对备件的工作时间进行讨论,改进了传统的单机故障备件需求模型。根据多机种协同作战任务的不同,引入备件工作运行比的概念,在考虑飞机是否战损的前提下,建立了基于作战任务的多机种故障备件需求模型。算例分析证明了模型的有效性。     

埋入式抗滑桩支护边坡稳定性分析

为研究埋入式抗滑桩在滑坡治理中的适用性,总结前人经验并经大量现场调查研究,提出埋入式抗滑桩支护的3种失效模式,即桩后滑体整体失稳、桩顶滑体越顶失稳和桩前滑体滑移失稳;并从失效模式入手,简化埋入式抗滑桩支护边坡稳定性分析模型。结合定点剪出的破坏假定,用传递系数法分别验算桩周3部分土体即桩后土体、桩顶土体和桩前土体的稳定性。最后在埋入式抗滑桩支护边坡稳定性分析模型的基础上,围绕滑体几何形态、滑面倾角、滑带及滑体力学性质等关键因素,对埋入式抗滑桩的适用条件进行探讨。研究表明:埋入式抗滑桩置于平缓段有利于其阻隔作用的发挥,保证桩前滑体的稳定性;置于滑体强度大于滑带强度的滑坡,有利于利用滑体较高的土工参数;置于坡面平缓的滑坡,有利于桩顶滑体的稳定。     

考虑故障影响的机构可靠性建模

对影响机构可靠性的主要因素、机构可靠性变化的基本过程以及表征机构可靠性变化的指标参数进行了分析 ,针对机构可靠性问题的特点 ,提出了基于机构输出参数的目标函数与实现函数的叠覆进行机构可靠性分析的方法以及考虑故障等级影响、对不同故障等级进行加权的机构可靠性失效判据 ,建立了与此相对应的机构可靠性分析的数学模型 ,给出了利用Monte Carlo方法对数学模型进行求解的计算流程 ,并对某实际工程问题进行了实例分析。